Fable 5 Quarterly

⚖️ Case File — PDF saboot-scanner (zero usage)

AR / PPT / concall ka PDF daalo — app khud (bina AI, bina limit) orderbook, guidance, capex/PLI, naye contracts ki lines page number ke saath nikaal dega.

Watchlist

Abhi khaali — kisi stock ke card par “Watchlist mein daalo” dabao.

⚖️ Data ki Adaalat

Mukadma = stock · Sunwai = har 90 din · Pairvi = RESULT (baaki sab chup) · Gawah = orderbook, CWIP, margin · Chashmadeed = delivery% + DII creep · Jhootha gawah = other-income one-off (adjusted se cross-examination) · Case file = AR/concall — faisla aane se pehle likhi hoti hai.

Faisle: 🟢 Re-rating = baizzat bari + muavza · 🔴 De-rating = jurmana (ummeed se zyada katta hai) · 🟡 Compression = tareekh pe tareekh — price khada, waqt katta hai. Appeal = 1 clean beat + confirm.

Har stock ka APNA mukadma — sector/leader/ladder ka daur mein zero weight. Na tera na mera — sab khela Result ka.

🏛️ Neev

Market mein sirf result chalta hai — P/E, DCF, levels sab reflection. Jo sabke paas hai wo chaara hai; edge = jo likha hai par chhapa nahi. Flow: SELECT → CONFIRM → TIME → MANAGE.

1 · Data hierarchy

AR/PPT/concall/filings = sach + future → apna calc → Screener sirf cross-check. AR saal mein THAPPA, quarterly har 90 din ENTRY.

2 · Story (missing parts)

Capex jahan revenue zero · CWIP↑ = revenue 18–24 mahine door · orderbook guidance cover kare · naye vertical milestones · PLI optionality. DCF veto sirf no-story bucket mein.

3 · Daur (3–4 qtr trail)

Growth ki disha · result-day reaction · guidance vs delivery · margin ki disha · runway vs mcap — judgment se. Tag: RE-RATING / DE-RATING / COMPRESSION. 1 quarter se kabhi tay nahi.

4 · P/E (daur-conditional)

Forward EPS har quarter revise. Re-rating: fwd EPS × current multiple hold; girta PE + badhta EPS = bullish. De-rating: wapsi = 1 clean beat + confirm. Compression: target = flat price. Median P/E sirf alarm.

5 · Footprints

Large/mid: DII/FII creep + delivery ≥50% girte mein. Small/micro: promoter + bulk deals; FII/DII entry LATE signal. Blow-off mein girti delivery = churning.

6 · Entry/Exit

Entry sirf filter-pass stock: support-cluster hold ya breakout-retest. Missed-rally: naye quarter ke max 2 windows — no chase, no substitute. SL levels-based; 50% book / 50% ride; execution fail = exit.

⛔ 7 · Kabhi nahi

Mechanical rules nahi · TTM×median target nahi · random-universe signal nahi · aggregator final sach nahi · S/R-commodity app nahi. Faisla hamesha Amol ka.